Market Information Thursday 16 April 2026

The International Monetary Fund said at least a dozen countries are likely to seek new loan programs to cope with the Middle East war’s energy shock and supply-chain disruptions, with several requests expected from sub-Saharan Africa. The IMF Managing Director estimated potential financing needs of $20 billion to $50 billion, including possible augmentations of existing programs. She warned Hormuz-related disruptions could deepen even if fighting ends, urged fuel conservation, and cautioned against broad energy subsidies.

Countries affected by the Iran war should prepare for months of economic disruption even if the Strait of Hormuz reopens, according to World Bank President. He warned that supply chains and energy flows would take time to normalize. The World Bank is preparing a phased support “war chest,” offering up to $25 billion immediately, potentially rising to $60 billion within months and $80 to $100 billion over 15 months, with a focus on containing inflation first.

Mortgage rates in the US have risen in early 2026, with the average 30-year fixed rate climbing from 5.75% in early March to about 6.12% by mid-April. Most experts expect rates to end 2026 around the low-6% range, though forecasts remain highly uncertain. Geopolitical tensions, oil prices and inflation expectations are key drivers of volatility, leaving mortgage markets sensitive to headlines rather than economic data.

The 6M Euribor increased with 4 basis points to 2.48% compared to previous business day. The 10Y Swap increased with 3 basis points to 3.08% compared to previous business day.

In the attachment, today’s market data on money and capital market rates as well as other rates are presented.