Market Information Monday 16 March 2026

Oil markets remain severely strained as the closure of the Strait of Hormuz and escalating conflict drive Brent and WTI up over 40% this month, despite the IEA releasing 400 million barrels from reserves. Global supply is expected to fall by 8 million bpd while Middle Eastern producers cut at least 10 million bpd, heightening volatility and reshaping global energy flows.

Ultra‑short‑term crypto betting has surged to about $70 million in daily volume in the US, with 5‑ to 15‑minute contracts now accounting for more than half of trading on major prediction platforms. This rapid growth has amplified speculative behavior and created microstructure inefficiencies that high‑frequency trading firms increasingly exploit, even as crypto prices have fallen over 40% from last year’s peak.

Europe’s sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) market faces structural pressure as rising Chinese export volumes threaten to trigger a price imbalance similar to past oversupply shocks in other industrial sectors. With EU mandates requiring SAF blends to increase from 2% in 2025 to 70% by 2050, weak demand, high production costs, and import competition risk undermining long‑term market stability.

The 6M Euribor increased with 6 basis points to 2.23% compared to previous business day. The 10Y Swap increased with 4 basis points to 3.01% compared to previous business day.

In the attachment, today’s market data on money and capital market rates as well as other rates are presented.